Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.628716 6.338344 7.114516 8.028371 9.077284 10.246318 11.651736
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.510466 5.422337 6.496135 7.860886 9.559061 11.615223 14.312509
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.861316 4.871782 6.128940 7.821941 10.063508 12.959243 17.031258
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.384695 4.438075 5.807683 7.740853 10.434428 14.106965 19.583934
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.162685 4.291693 5.818737 8.067772 11.351248 16.057286 23.473311
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.880785 4.023361 5.621071 8.060938 11.768864 17.318702 26.498632
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.630611 3.768627 5.407655 7.992989 12.066769 18.409568 29.379412
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.315598 3.387075 4.968129 7.529654 11.689353 18.383918 30.407792
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.167357 3.239644 4.862453 7.566629 12.100229 19.658673 33.797194
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.086100 3.185882 4.892758 7.818304 12.883322 21.636261 38.706570
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.990422 3.099862 4.861854 7.961211 13.489443 23.368338 43.407030
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.891819 3.000094 4.798225 8.038568 13.982146 24.944882 48.031410
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.789871 2.889773 4.712594 8.077788 14.426370 26.517564 52.974348
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.656543 2.716552 4.506082 7.880583 14.406542 27.194340 56.151103
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.561541 2.601334 4.389886 7.835929 14.671149 28.462421 60.820297
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.469689 2.484508 4.260930 7.753585 14.849081 29.569324 65.302958
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.444922 2.484557 4.341839 8.080887 15.893670 32.644241 74.992542
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.375834 2.399044 4.257871 8.073996 16.236676 34.226460 81.295707
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.304469 2.304237 4.148963 8.005914 16.438924 35.513723 87.075909
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.190042 2.121616 3.859743 7.541733 15.720458 34.571355 86.753368
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.144013 2.065669 3.811896 7.578775 16.132040 36.371336 94.300663
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.125193 2.060506 3.863065 7.830907 17.065149 39.572973 106.489087
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.095316 2.031642 3.864391 7.974076 17.757618 42.267487 117.765470